Both the Michigan State Spartans and the Indiana Hoosiers are sliding downhill to some extent. This Big Ten battle promises to be low-scoring, as our college basketball picks explain.
Two Big Ten teams that have gone through some recent struggles will square off on Sunday afternoon when the Michigan State Spartans travel to Bloomington to take on the Indiana Hoosiers.
Michigan State has lost two of its last three games and now sits at 13-6 overall (5-3 in conference). Indiana has lost six of its last 11 games and is 12-6 overall (3-4 in conference).
Which early season contender will turn things around on Sunday? Check out our college basketball picks and predictions for Michigan State vs. Indiana on Sunday, Jan. 22 to find out.
Michigan State vs Indiana Best Odds
Michigan State vs. Indiana picks and predictions
This game will Really Its a battle of offense vs defense. Michigan State ranks 66th in the nation in scoring defense, allowing 65.0 points per game. However, they only average 69.7 points per contest themselves, which ranks 225th in the country.
On the other end, Indiana ranks 39th with 79.0 points per game. However, they are allowing 67.7 per contest, which ranks 139. The Hoosiers will continue to be without two seniors in Xavier Johnson and Race Thompson. Both players are starters and average a combined 18.3 points, 9.4 rebounds, 6.0 assists, 2.0 steals and 1.4 blocks per game.
In the four games without Johnson and Thompson, Indiana went 2-2, averaging 73.0 points and allowing 69.8 points per game. They are affected negatively on both sides of the ball. Meanwhile, Michigan State will be without Malik Hall again, who has missed much of the season early on.
The Spartans are 7-2 with Hall in the lineup, but 6-4 without him. Both rough patches of the season for Michigan State happened without the senior leader in the lineup. In the nine games with Hall, the Spartans averaged 72.4 points per game and allowed 64.9 points per contest. While their defense remained strong, the offense suffered without Hall.
Michigan State loves to slow the game down, and they will try to do that here in Indiana to give themselves a chance to pull off the road win. The Spartans rank 288th in possessions per game, and rarely turn the ball over. They will be able to bleed the clock on offense and find their best shot.
On the other end, Indiana will have to work hard to get their opportunities, as the Spartans only allow their opponents to shoot 40.2% from the field. This is likely to be a game with few possessions and fewer opportunities to score. I like the under here regardless of who wins.
My best bet: Under 138.5 (-115 at BetMGM)
Best college basketball bonuses
Looking for college basketball betting? Here are two of the best bonuses* available:
A) New users at FanDuel can bet $5 and Get $150 in bonus bets! Write one now
b) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 and Get $200 in bonus bets! Write one now
*Eligible USA locations only. Also check out our full list of the best sportsbook promotions for 2023.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler
Michigan State vs Indiana Spread Analysis
Finding wins on the road in conference is what can separate the top title contenders from the rest. While the Spartans are not a top contender, they have impressed on the road thus far. They are 2-1 in such games, with wins over Penn State and Wisconsin.
Despite recent struggles, the Spartans have covered eight of their last 10 games. Indiana could be on the bounce back, winning and covering each of their last two games. However, they failed to cover in eight of their previous nine contests. It won’t get any easier on Sunday afternoon.
The Spartans are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games against a team with an even record. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a spread win. Indiana is 1-4 ATS in their last five home games, and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning SU record. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between the two programs.
Michigan State will control the pace, and that will cause trouble for the Hoosiers. Indiana lost a similar style game to Rutgers earlier this season in which they only scored 48 points. The Hoosiers will likely score more than that at home, but I still like the Spartans to not only cover, but win outright on the road.
Covers college basketball betting tools
Michigan State vs. Indiana Over/Under Analysis
Indiana has had multiple high-scoring games this season, but also some very low-scoring games. The Spartans have been much more consistent in their games, remaining relatively low-scoring. They haven’t had a complete game reach 150 points since December.
The under is 5-2 in the Spartans’ last seven games following an ATS win, and 7-3 in their last 10 games overall. They excel at forcing bad shots and limiting teams from getting 3-pointers. Michigan State also has a strong opponent free throw percentage of 72.1%. This may seem meaningless since you cannot defend free throws, but their style of play wears down opponents, which can impact free throw shooting.
The Hoosiers don’t attempt many threes (17.6 per game), ranking 329th in the country in attempts. Additionally, they are averaging just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game, which ranks 244th in the nation. They will struggle to put up points against the Michigan State defense, and that should lead to an under.
Michigan State vs Indiana betting trend to know
The Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. Find more college basketball betting trends for Michigan State vs Indiana.
Michigan State vs Indiana Game Info
|Location:||Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall, Bloomington, IN|
|date:||Sunday, January 22, 2023|
|Tip:||12:00 PM ET|